FanBoardHQ

Jacksonville State

Jacksonville State University · 2024 · Conference USA

FanBoardHQ CFP
#69
Efficiency
-3.3
81st FBS
Record
9-5
Conf. record
8-1
Conf. finish
1st
of 10
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Jacksonville State went 9-5 and was ranked 69th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 52nd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 102nd-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 64% of offensive plays with a 50th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 36% of plays with a 70th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-0
Q3
0-2
Q4
9-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
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14
Expected: 9.0 wins
Strength of Record
65th
-3.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
130th
full season
130th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
132nd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~8.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Coastal CarolinaSun Belt#96L 2755+7.60%-42.5Q4
2@ LouisvilleACC#21L 1449-22.30%-11.5Q1
3@ Eastern MichiganMid-American#108L 3437+6.90%-11.7Q4
4vs Southern MissSun Belt#133W 447+25.3100%7.6Q4
6@ Kennesaw StateConference USA#132W 6324+17.9100%10.0Q4
7vs New Mexico StateConference USA#127W 5413+23.5100%4.9Q4
9vs Middle TennesseeConference USA#130W 4220+28.5100%-6.1Q4
10@ LibertyConference USA#85W 3121+5.0100%1.5Q4
11@ Louisiana TechConference USA#111W 4437+7.7100%-9.7Q4
12vs FIUConference USA#115W 3431+11.1100%-11.5Q4
13vs Sam HoustonConference USA#56W 2111+6.8100%2.8Q4
14@ Western KentuckyConference USA#80L 1719+0.60%-5.7Q3
15vs Western KentuckyConference USA#80W 5212+6.1100%28.3Q4
Postseason
vs OhioMid-American#46L 2730-3.00%-3.1Q3

14 played · 9-5. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Jacksonville State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-36.8-7.1+22.7-42-11-128105-61-10-113-628Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 70th
SR 89thYPP 55thEPA 68th
RushingEff 50th
SR 51stYPP 55thEPA 48th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 85th
SR 103rdYPP 92ndEPA 76th
Rush defenseEff 120th
SR 125thYPP 109thEPA 118th
Dropback rate 36%Tempo -3.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 89th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 45%1st · Defense allowed: 44%1st2nd · Offense: 49%2nd · Defense allowed: 42%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 44%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 45%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 100.0Q1 · Allowed: 95.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 152.0Q2 · Allowed: 117.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 107.0Q3 · Allowed: 54.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 138.0Q4 · Allowed: 85.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledJacksonville StateOffenseDefense
Jacksonville State Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 52nd
+2.1
Field position: -1.6Finishing drives: +3.7
Field position -1.6Finishing drives +3.7= +2.1
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 118th · Finishing 37th

Defensive EffRanked 102nd
-5.1
Field position: +0.2Finishing drives: -5.3
Field position +0.2Finishing drives -5.3= -5.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 58th · Finishing 107th

2.93 points per drive on offense, 2.06 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(227)36% / 64%48%6.7
Q2(268)39% / 61%48%6.5
Q3(217)35% / 65%45%6.8
Q4(219)29% / 71%43%7.0
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(107)10.352%10.1
2nd(119)9.140%7.8
3rd(90)7.931%5.5
4th(9)4.844%4.8
All (325)42%7.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(323)9.743%6.2
2nd(189)6.254%6.3
3rd(80)4.855%5.9
4th(14)2.164%6.4
All (606)49%6.2

Jacksonville State, all games.